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Effective Continuation Betting - Part 2
The mantra of Big Pots = Big Hands applies and you do not want to be playing big pots with marginal hands unless they have significant outs and implied odds - a Flush Draw (FD) for example.
You do NOT want to be playing a LARGE pot with MP on a coordinated board, for example: AJ on a 2 suited JT9 board where you do not have any of the suits on the flop.
A number of points are due consideration: 1.
The concept of 'protecting your hand' by a c-bet is WRONG - you should always be protecting your stack.
A c-bet may win the pot on the flop, but if raised you are in a very weak position on this board with a large pot developing.
You are either slightly ahead of his big draw or are way behind a made hand, with very poor equity (under 30% with this hand on this board) against a draw/made hand combination.
Therefore opening up the option to build a pot by raising your c-bet with < 30% equity is VERY bad play.
The better option is to wait until the turn when your equity v a draw will have improved with only 1 card to come.
You may lose a small pot by checking behind, but this is better that risking 100bb with poor equity.
Exception If villain has a stack size of 20bb or less, you MUST c-bet.
The general rule is the shorter the stack, the weaker the hands you can bet and vice versa.
Delayed C-bet There are a number of reasons for delaying a c-bet to the turn or the river: 1.
There is a high % chance of a flop C/R 2.
Your opponent will interpret the delayed c-bet as a marginal made hand and give up on the pot 3.
You want to be deceptive with a draw 4.
You want to balance your check behind range so that it is not too obvious It should be used sparingly and usually occurs in HU battles with wide ranges or in the blinds.
Dealing with Weak Leads (The Donk Bet) There are 3 potential plays we can make when facing a donk bet - call, raise or fold.
The key is BOARD TEXTURE.
CALL with a strong hand to induce bluffs if we believe our opponent is bluffing or we have a vulnerable hand on a coordinated board and want to control the size of the pot.
RAISE with strong hands to build a big pot, semi-bluffs (draws) and junk (if we believe our opponent is weak).
FOLD on highly coordinated boards where the % chance of a 3-bet is high and our FE is small.
The board texture is critical in the decision.
We should also fold against good players where we do not have enough information to make accurate assumptions about their range.
There are several player styles who donk bet: 1.
A good TAG player is more inclined to 3-bet any raise of a donk bet 2.
A weak passive player will donk bet with a marginal hand or a draw and call a flop raise or donk bet and check call the turn if the flop bet is just called.